Saturday, July 19, 2014

How is the 2014 Ukrainian Crisis to be understood by Americans?

How is the 2014 Ukrainian Crisis to be understood by Americans?


Analyze parallels between 2014 Crimean crisis and Second Chechen War (1999-2000).

Similarities between Ukrainian Crisis and Second Chechen War:

Putin instigated both crises so as to give the Russian people an outside threat to counter, directs focus away from internal turmoil.

Prognosis:

Second Chechen War served its purpose, Russian population rallied around Putin. Conflict deescalated in several phases over next decade.

Ukrainian Crisis could very well be dragged out over many years. Putin will find a temperature to fit his needs.

Things to keep in mind:

-> Putin doesn't have the resources for full scale wars with great powers.

-> Some believe Putin is responsible for the 1999 Moscow apartment bombings, he can be very creative and kill his own people.

-> Absolutely his intention is to maintain the internal integrity of Russia, no matter what the cost.

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