Saturday, July 26, 2014

MEMO: 21st C Expansionism - Russia vs. China


Date: July 19, 2014

MEMORANDUM: 21st C Expansionism - Russia vs. China

Similarities:

Ancient countries w/ imperial maps at their disposal.

Struggling to maintain internal stability in post communism era.

Xi and Putin strong leaders, can direct the actions of their countries as they like.

Differences:

China believes it is their destiny to reclaim lost territory. Timeframe determined by rate of economic growth. Possibly looking toward 2049 as important milestone. (CJ)

Russia seems to act belligerently intermittently so as to divert attention to external threats. Timeframe determined as public attention to previous campaign fades.

Prognosis:

Chinese behavior harder to predict, intent on reclaiming lost territory.

Expect Russia to engage in drawn-out violent campaigns intermittently and indefinitely.

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