Date: September 8, 2014
MEMORANDUM: What is going on re Putin capture Estonian spy in Estonia?
Putin is trying different tactics in his efforts to establish a long term external threat.
Turning point in the Ukraine crisis, Russians seem to not want to go to war with Ukraine. Also, might be coordinating with Chinese as to hurt NATO when we're making progress re ISIS.
What can we expect in the future?
So far Putin has been very efficient with his resources. Goal is not to gain territory necessarily, but to establish an ongoing external threat. Ukrainians were not attacking Russia, but Russians are inherently fearful of spies. Putin grabbed a real spy on the Estonian side of the border.